Buyback Radar

StonkFun STONK

Sell signal activeRank#18▲7Score46

Sell signal since Oct 30. REV7 fell to 0.5× of the previous week; REV ratio 0.5×, HR ratio 0.5×. Still open: weekly revenue drop and gradual decline over 30 days still holds. Also active: Distribution cut. See Signals.

Launchpad, Solana, 101 days of data,

Active signals 2

  • Distribution cutheld since Oct 21

    Paid to holders this week $161k, 25% of its usual $657k per week. Revenue this week $270k.

    Payout to holders cut: revenue this week $270k, 0.5× the week before, paid to holders 25% of its usual week. Still open: the payout has not recovered.

  • Sell signalsince Oct 30

    Revenue over 30 days $2.8M, 12% of the 30 days before ($23.2M).

    Weekly revenue drop: revenue this week $270k, 0.5× the week before, paid to holders 0.5× the week before. Still open: weekly revenue drop and gradual decline over 30 days still holds.

Market cap

$34.5M

price $0.0452 · 7d −64.9% · 30d −65.7%

FDV $34.5M (1.0× market cap)

source coingecko

Buyback revenue / year

$20.6M

holders revenue of the last 30 days, $1.7M, × 365 ÷ 30

Buyback + burnbuyback share 60%

Buys back 60% of its market cap a year, using 60¢ of every $1 it earns.

Multiple

1.7×

peer median 1.7× (Launchpad, 5 tokens), against 1.7× here

Run-rate

4.1×

last 7 days $161k × 52 = $8.4M a year

last week's payout to holders ran at 41% of the 30-day pace: the payout is slowing

What we checked

  1. Valuation

    Multiple 1.7×, in line with its Launchpad peers (median 1.7×, 5 tokens). The group's largest earner Pump trades at 5.8×: 3.5× cheaper per dollar returned to holders. On total revenue: 1.0×, 5.4× cheaper than the revenue peer median.

  2. Distribution

    Buyback + burn: Revenue buys the token on the market and the bought tokens are burned. Holders got $1.7M of $2.8M revenue in 30 days → buyback share 60%. DefiLlama: “STONK Buyback And Burn: Revenue spent buying the platform token back and burning it.”

  3. Sustainability

    Holders were paid on 30 of 30 days (100%); largest single day 7% of the month's holders revenue; paid to holders this week: 3% of the best week in 90 days (more than half below peak). Revenue −45% over 7 days and −88% over 30 days, price −66% over 30 days.

What this does not tell you

The figures come from DefiLlama's adapter for each child protocol. Only a few tokens have an on-chain check (see How the buyback really works); for the rest, whether the tokens were really bought, burned or parked in a treasury wallet is not checked here. Unlocks count where DefiLlama or our research has a vesting schedule; team discretion and liquidity depth only once researched.

Flags

  • Sell signalactive since Oct 30; REV7 fell to 0.5× of the previous week; REV ratio 0.5×, HR ratio 0.5×. Still open: weekly revenue drop and gradual decline over 30 days still holds. See Signals
  • Distribution cutheld since Oct 21, before tracking started; paid to holders $161k in the week to 2026-11-11 vs $657k per week from 2026-08-13 to 2026-11-04 (25%) while REV7 is $270k ($493k the week before); last payout 2026-11-11. Still open: the payout has not recovered. See Signals
  • Payout >50% below peakthis week's holders revenue is 3% of its best week in the last 90 days ($5.9M)

How the buyback really works

Researched Nov 1, 2026 · 2 wallets: 2 high confidence

  1. The moneyPaid from ongoing revenue
  2. The buyerThe team decides when and how much
  3. The tokensBought tokens are burned

The project says 60% of its revenue goes to buybacks, in line with DefiLlama (60.1% of stonkfun's revenue).

On-chain: not measurable with our sources (the operator wallet makes about 2,500 STONK transactions a day; paging that through Helius does not fit in one run).

Method: not measurable: the operator wallet makes about 2,500 STONK transactions a day; paging that through Helius does not fit in one run. Checked November 12, 2026.

Red flags 6

  • The 60% is policy on a web page ('Approximately 60 %'), not an on-chain rule. The pseudonymous team can change or stop it at any time.
  • All fees land on a single EOA. Buying and burning are done by the same key, so this is custodial and purchased STONK could in theory also be sold.
  • DefiLlama counts the Jupiter swaps to the operator as holders revenue, not the burns themselves. If the purchased STONK is not burned, the figure is too high.
  • Part of the burns are direct burns of fees paid in STONK (the page: 'executes a burn without a buyback'). Since 2026-08-28 DefiLlama's calculation excludes STONK fees and fees from STONK's own pool from revenue.
  • The operator also buys other launchpad coins: not every operator swap is a STONK buyback.
  • It is a memecoin / stock-paired launchpad on Raydium LaunchLab, with very volatile revenue.
Buyback wallets 2
  • Solana5CEbue…SPAG on Solscanhigh confidence
    github.com/DefiLlama/…/stonkfun.ts
  • Solana6GmAFS…UNgx on Solscanhigh confidence
    stonkfun.xyz/revenue
Sources 5

Open the buyback wallets in their explorer and look for regular purchases of the token.

Check it yourself (technical)

(a) Burns: because the mint authority is null, the difference in getTokenSupply(6GmAFSYs...) between t-30d and now equals the STONK burned. On 2026-10-31 at 22:36 UTC supply was 780,703,519 STONK, versus 1 billion at launch. Per transaction: SPL Burn/BurnChecked on this mint with authority 5CEbue...SPAG, via Helius getSignaturesForAddress plus getTransaction (jsonParsed) or Dune tokens_solana.transfers with action='burn'. (b) Buyback in USD: Jupiter swaps in which STONK arrives at the operator, with the net quote tokens spent per swap. This is how the DefiLlama adapter works (dailyHoldersRevenue, api.llama.fi/summary/fees/stonkfun?dataType=dailyHoldersRevenue). Use (a) and (b) together: (b) does not prove a burn, and (a) also includes direct burns of fees that were already received in STONK.

Holders revenue / revenue (30d)
$1.7M / $2.8M
last 30 closed days
To holders
Buys back 60% of its market cap a year
FDV / dilution
$34.5M / 1.0×
FDV ÷ market cap
Price 7d / 30d
−64.9% / −65.7%
Revenue growth 7d / 30d
−45% / −88%
versus the period before
Divergence
0.00
revenue growth minus price growth, 30d
DEX liquidity
$3.0M
DexScreener, representative pools
24h volume
$4.8M
all markets, CoinGecko
Unlocks 30d
—
no unlock schedule for this token
Revenue multiple
1.0×
market cap ÷ revenue per year
Fee multiple
0.7×
market cap ÷ fees per year
Distance to peak
3%
this week ÷ best week of 90 days
Data since
Aug 3
first day with holders revenue

Holders revenue and price

Holders revenue per day7-day averagePrice (right axis)▲ ▼ signal days (history below)

Multiple over time

today 1.7× (scored) · peer median 1.7×

Market cap at close ÷ (holders revenue of the previous 30 days × 365 ÷ 30), with holders revenue capped at revenue and × the type factor: the same effective multiple as the peer median. Values above 100× are drawn at the top. Bands as on the meter; dashed line = peer median today.

Signal history

Signal history of this token: date, type, price at the signal, price after 7 and 30 days, change since the signal and the outcome
DateSignalPrice thenAfter 7dAfter 30dSinceOutcome
November 11, 2026New in top 20closed Nov 11: now ranked #24$0.0514——−12%30-day check: day 1
November 7, 2026Multiple below medianclosed Nov 9: the condition no longer holds$0.0498——−9%not counted
October 21, 2026Distribution cutactive$0.126−65%—−64%not counted
October 31, 2026New in top 20voided Nov 1: rule change of 1 Nov 2026: it would not open under the current rules$0.126−43%—−64%not counted
October 31, 2026Multiple below medianclosed Nov 2: the condition no longer holds$0.126−43%—−64%30-day check: day 11
October 31, 2026Sell signalactive$0.126−43%—−64%30-day check: day 11

Versus peers

Launchpad · 6 tokens (5 with a multiple) · median multiple 1.7× · Pump is valued 44.8× higher. Per dollar that counts for holders, StonkFun is 3.5× cheaper.

Main-ranking peers only. Multiples count holders revenue capped at revenue, × the type factor (buyback 1 · buyback + burn 1 · burn 0.75 · mixed 0.75 · distribution 0.5 · unclear 0.5 · ve-distribution 0.25).

This token against its main-ranking peers: multiple, revenue multiple, buyback share, holders revenue, market cap and revenue growth
TokenDistributionMultipleRevenue multipleBuyback shareTo holders 30dMarket capRev. growth 30d
OTCBuyback + burn0.5×0.2×43%$292k$1.9M+111%
SaplingBuyback + burn0.9×0.7×82%$100k$1.1M−30%
StonkFunthis tokenBuyback + burn1.7×1.0×60%$1.7M$34.5M−88%
PonsBuyback + burn5.7×5.7×118%$1.7M$99.8M−84%
PumpleaderBuyback5.8×2.6×44%$21.9M$1.54B−24%
BONK.funMixed∞11.7×95%$1.5M$233.7M−67%
Score build-up46 of 100

Total score = 35% valuation + 25% momentum + 20% divergence + 20% quality − penalties, clamped to 0–100. Every number here can be recomputed from the figures on this page.

46of 100#18▲7top 34%
Valuation 35.0Momentum 2.5Divergence 0.0Quality 13.3penalties −5= 45.8
Valuation35%
100Valuation 100.0: HR half 100.0 (multiple 1.68×; 100 at ≤3×, 0 at ≥100×, log scale), revenue half 100.0 (revenue peer value 5.35×; 0 at ≤0.33×, 50 at 1×, 100 at ≥3×, log scale).Average of two halves. HR half: linear in log(multiple), 100 at ≤ 3×, 0 at ≥ 100×, 0 without effective HR. Revenue half: linear in log(revenue peer value), 0 at ≤ 0.33×, 50 at 1×, 100 at ≥ 3×; neutral 50 when the peer group falls back to the universe.
Momentum25%capped
10Momentum 9.8: m = 0.5·g7 −0.602 + 0.3·(ln(day jump 1.14) clamped ±1.5 = 0.129) + 0.2·g30 −1.500 = −0.562; 0 at ≤−0.7, 50 at 0, 100 at ≥1.1.m = 0.5·g7 + 0.3·ln(day jump, clamped ±1.5) + 0.2·g30; 0 at m ≤ −0.7, 50 at 0, 100 at ≥ 1.1. Neutral 50 when g7 or g30 is missing; a missing day jump counts as 0.
Divergence20%capped
0Divergence 0.0: d = g30 − p30 = 0.000; 0 at ≤0, 100 at ≥1.5.d = max(0, g30 − p30) when g30 > 0; 0 at d ≤ 0, 100 at d ≥ 1.5, linear.
Quality20%
67Quality 66.7: mean of days HR>0 100% → 100.0 (0 at ≤30%, 100 at ≥90%), largest day 7% of HR30 → 100.0 (0 at ≥60%, 100 at ≤15%), distance to peak 0.03 → 0.0 (0 at ≤0.25, 100 at ≥0.9).Average of: share of days with HR > 0 (0 at ≤ 30%, 100 at ≥ 90%), 1 − largest day ÷ HR30 (0 at ≥ 60%, 100 at ≤ 15%) and distance to peak (0 at ≤ 0.25, 100 at ≥ 0.9).
  • Penalty −5 (team_discretion): buyback at the team's discretion.

HR7 is below 50% of its 90-day peak: momentum and divergence are capped at 50. This is not a penalty; the distance already counts in quality.

Penalties−5

−5Buyback at the team's discretionbuyback at the team's discretion

9 rules not applied, 2 wait for research data.

Where the numbers come from
Revenue source
1 active child
DefiLlama adapter per child
Price and market cap
defillama / coingecko
latest fetch
Scored on
November 11, 2026
as-of date of the last compute run
On-chain verified
not measurable
checked Nov 12
Protocols behind this token1 at DefiLlama

Per protocol: DefiLlama's methodology text, the distribution type we read from it and the sentence that decided it. The token takes the type of the protocol that returns the most to holders.

  • StonkFun
    Launchpad · Solana
    type buyback-burn · source label
    “STONK Buyback And Burn: Revenue spent buying the platform token back and burning it.”

    Quote assets spent buying STONK on Jupiter, identified on-chain as swaps that returned STONK to the operator wallet, at the net amount each swap spent.

    STONK Buyback And Burn
    Revenue spent buying the platform token back and burning it.
    adapter on GitHub ↗